CauseThatsMyDJ Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 When: Friday 2/8 at 7:30pm ET on FS1 KenPom likes us to win 75-71, giving us a 66% chance to win ESPN gives us a 65% chance of victory Vegas has us -6 Slowing down Jordan Murphy is the key to beating the Gophers, as he averages 18 points and 12 boards. He put up 18 and 10 in our first game. Amir Coffey, who didn't play in our first match up, averages 14 points. Nate Mason shoots 41% from three and averages 16 ppg, and burned us for 22 points in Minneapolis. Containing those three guys is our recipe for success. They continue on without Reggie Lynch. They have lost six straight, and nine of ten, so they are reeling coming into Bloomington. On the flip side, they gave Michigan and Nebraska all they could handle, so they seem to be playing better as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FW_Hoosier Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 This game needs to be the first of a three game winning streak going into the Nebraska and OSU games. Any losses over that stretch will be pretty disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jblaz13 Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 IU needs to beat them by just enough that they don't lose any further confidence in Pitino. We don't want Little Ricky to go anywhere anytime soon. Lol On a scale of 1-10 how would you rate the temp of his seat? After the way they did Tubby , he should in all fairness be canned after this season is over. Who is more disappointing:? Little Ricky or Fran Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bstall76 Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 There is word that Coffey and McBryer may both be out for the game tomorrow. That would make them really short in the back court. Mason and the freshman Washington are good, but they are going to need some help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbmhoosier Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 We should win handily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seeking6 Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 1 hour ago, bstall76 said: There is word that Coffey and McBryer may both be out for the game tomorrow. That would make them really short in the back court. Mason and the freshman Washington are good, but they are going to need some help. Certainly should help. Fast start is something I really want to see again. Hard to believe only 3 more home games left this year. Unless of course we decide hosting a NIT game isn't below us this time around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosierhoopster Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 KenPom is often wrong on IU, hopefully not tomorrow. I think the team is focused, and will win and win well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FKIM01 Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 I watched Minnesota recently and they frankly might as well not have a coach. There's no purpose to either their offense or defense. The most sophisticated play I saw Ricky draw up after a time-out was a simple post-feed that could have been easily defeated with decent defense and court awareness. I think they'd play just as well if he stayed in the locker room during the game. Unless Minnesota catches fire shooting, I don't see Minnesota outplaying Archie's strategic leadership. This should be a fairly easy win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosierhoopster Posted February 8, 2018 Report Share Posted February 8, 2018 My only concern is based in just how bad they've been. See Illinois. This is a home game, though, and we do look to be focused with that last beatdown W, but frankly I'd prefer that Minn look better coming in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drroogh Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 What little I have seen of Minnesota seems like street ball. That being said the players seem to be pretty good at street ball. Don't know the answer but I would think that Archie's team defense should hold it's own. I'm going with a double digit win just not 20 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5fouls Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 IU by 11. With Rojo and Morgan doing most of the damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IU Scott Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 3 hours ago, CauseThatsMyDJ said: When: Friday 2/8 at 7:30pm ET on FS1 KenPom likes us to win 75-71, giving us a 66% chance to win ESPN gives us a 65% chance of victory Vegas has us -6 Slowing down Jordan Murphy is the key to beating the Gophers, as he averages 18 points and 12 boards. He put up 18 and 10 in our first game. Amir Coffey, who didn't play in our first match up, averages 14 points. Nate Mason shoots 41% from three and averages 16 ppg, and burned us for 22 points in Minneapolis. Containing those three guys is our recipe for success. They continue on without Reggie Lynch. They have lost six straight, and nine of ten, so they are reeling coming into Bloomington. On the flip side, they gave Michigan and Nebraska all they could handle, so they seem to be playing better as of late. Coffey has not played in the last couple of games so do you know if he is playing against us. Also the other night another one of their starters left the game with an injury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 Brother lives in the Twin Cities. Said that Coffey is doubtful and McBrayer (sp?) sat out the 2nd half vs Nebraska the other night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CauseThatsMyDJ Posted February 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 Had no idea about Coffey. Thanks everyone for bringing that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slojoe Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 I'm going to be watching Green. If he can "lock-in" on defense and keep up his offensive performance, it will be a big step for him and the team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leathernecks Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 Minnesota has terrible coaching, injuries, off the court issues, and zero momentum. There's no reason we shouldn't win this game easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 Dinner tonight with the woman. I expect a W when I get back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoB2011 Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 17 hours ago, Hoosierhoopster said: KenPom is often wrong on IU, hopefully not tomorrow. I think the team is focused, and will win and win well. He is wrong because his model can't handle the couple huge outliers we have. Most teams don't have one game, let alone two, so far out of character. With that said, I think we win by double digits. We are much better than the Gophers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CauseThatsMyDJ Posted February 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 28 minutes ago, KoB2011 said: He is wrong because his model can't handle the couple huge outliers we have. Most teams don't have one game, let alone two, so far out of character. With that said, I think we win by double digits. We are much better than the Gophers. KenPom being wrong is a false narrative, plain and simple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosiertildeath Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 my Crystal ball tells me this :: IU 76 Minnesota 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoB2011 Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 46 minutes ago, CauseThatsMyDJ said: KenPom being wrong is a false narrative, plain and simple. Sure, semantically wrong would be the incorrect way to talk about it. The reason his model is less predictive of Indiana this season is because we have two major outliers that are difficult to account for within his model. Better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CauseThatsMyDJ Posted February 9, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 1 hour ago, KoB2011 said: Sure, semantically wrong would be the incorrect way to talk about it. The reason his model is less predictive of Indiana this season is because we have two major outliers that are difficult to account for within his model. Better? With a few exceptions, which are to be expected with a system that makes predictions, he hasn’t been wrong about Indiana this season. There’s a reason he’s always so close to the Vegas line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madmax Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 I think we come out and roll in this one. I'm excited to hopefully see Green continue his play of late. Should be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lizard Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 I'm hopeful that our guys show they've learned the mindset and effort they have to display for every opponent. Last game was a good step. Will we continue forward or... ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jblaz13 Posted February 9, 2018 Report Share Posted February 9, 2018 22 hours ago, Hoosierhoopster said: My only concern is based in just how bad they've been. See Illinois. This is a home game, though, and we do look to be focused with that last beatdown W, but frankly I'd prefer that Minn look better coming in. This. They have several players who can make it really difficult for Indiana if they get going, and I hope they don't find their footing tonight either. I always worry about what happens if Morgan picks up a couple of quick fouls. I still have IU by 10+. I think they make a few shots tonight. They've been doing the right things to find looks. One would hope they could even get hot for a few games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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