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More Cowbell

FiveThirtyEight NCAA Basketball Tournament Simulation

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I know how much everyone is disappointed that the NCAA Basketball Tournament wasn't played this year.  I came across a simulation that was done by the website FiveThirtyEight for both the men's and women's tournaments.  It isn't quite as good as the real thing, but in the men's tournament they simulated Indiana as an 11 seed beating BYU as a 6 seed in the first round.  You can check out the first round here https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-might-have-happened-in-the-first-round-of-the-ncaa-tournament/

They have only simulated the first two rounds but in the second round Indiana scores another upset against Seton Hall as the 3 seed.  You can check out the second round here https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-might-have-happened-in-the-second-round-of-the-ncaa-tournament/

Again, not as fun as the real tournament but kinda cool to see what could have been.  What are your thoughts on this simulation?  What are the biggest surprises?

 

 

Edited by More Cowbell
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Whoa.  They have IU beating BYU in the West !   That's a pleasant surprise to me. 

Hey MC. Thanks for the contribution, and for being a member. 

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Guess we're one and done in the tourney. It's arguable but Seton Hall's resume seems to be a bit better than ours. 

We made the tournament and won 1 game. This team has met my expectation. Looking forward to the next season!

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I was really surprised that three 11 seeds made it through to the Sweet 16.  I know there were three sub-10 seeds that made it to the Sweet 16 in 2013 (Oregon #12, La Salle #13, Florida Gulf Coast #15), does anyone know of any other year that has happened?

Edited by More Cowbell

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1 hour ago, addictedtoIU said:

Guess we're one and done in the tourney. It's arguable but Seton Hall's resume seems to be a bit better than ours. 

We made the tournament and won 1 game. This team has met my expectation. Looking forward to the next season!

IU beat Seton Hall in the simulation. Sweet Sixteen! 😄

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7 minutes ago, go_iu_bb said:

IU beat Seton Hall in the simulation. Sweet Sixteen! 😄

Reminds me of the actual 2002 IU team.  No one expected them to make it to the championship game.  Yet they did.  GO HOOSIERS !

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2 hours ago, milehiiu said:

Reminds me of the actual 2002 IU team.  No one expected them to make it to the championship game.  Yet they did.  GO HOOSIERS !

2002 was a 5 seed where this years team would have been a 10 or 11 seed which would make it even harder.

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