Last year IU also started 4-2. At that time, SP+ had their most likely record as 6-6 followed by 7-5. Obviously IU finished 5-7 something that, at the time, SP+ gave a 19% chance to occur. Indiana underperformed down the stretch but it wasn't a complete shock they missed a bowl pic.twitter.com/cDy102uRP3

— Punt John Punt (@PuntJohnPunt) October 13, 2019