HoosierFaithful Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 Is there a way to logically deduce the 2-4 places we might be for the first weekend? I am considering booking a flight now and just cancelling it if it doesn't line up, but this team is too special, I want to see them in person. Anyone been tracking this more closely than I have with some wisdom? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reacher Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 Join me at the United Center this Friday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5fouls Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) I'm basing this on the fact that I think the committee is going to set up IU vs UK as a potential 4/5 matchup (assuming UK does not flame out early in SEC tourney). 1. Birmingham, AL 2. Columbus, OH 3. Orlando, FL 4. Greensboro, NC They will do everything they can to get that matchup in one of those first 2 sites I listed above. Edited March 6, 2023 by 5fouls Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5fouls Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 (edited) Adding to that. I think we are headed out west for the regionals. Basing that on the theory that we will be the lowest seeded #4 and that the other 4's will get preferentially seeded in the other regions. I see the West region seeded like this. 1. UCLA 2. Baylor 3. Gonzaga 4. Indiana 5. Kentucky That gives the committee two potentially huge games of interest. IU vs UK in the round of 32, and UCLA vs the IU/UK winner in the Sweet 16. Now, UCLA screws that up if they lose early in the PAC 12 tourney. But, the committee really wants a West Coast anchor as #1 and Gonzaga is given as the #3 because the only other Top 4 seed actually from out there would be Arizona, and they wont be in same Region as UCLA. If Purdue gets the #1 out there, IU will not be the 4 in the west. Edited March 6, 2023 by 5fouls 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosierfan1901 Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 South Region Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5fouls Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 3 minutes ago, Hoosierfan1901 said: South Region That's going to require us to be the 1st or 2nd seeded #4 seed. According to Bracket Matrix, the teams on the 4 line right now are Connecticut, Xavier, Virginia, an Indiana. All 4 of those teams will have the South as #1 or #2 on their preferred list. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosierfan1901 Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 Just now, 5fouls said: That's going to require us to be the 1st or 2nd seeded #4 seed. According to Bracket Matrix, the teams on the 4 line right now are Connecticut, Xavier, Virginia, an Indiana. All 4 of those teams will have the South as #1 or #2 on their preferred list. Going to be a battle for sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IU Scott Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 17 minutes ago, 5fouls said: That's going to require us to be the 1st or 2nd seeded #4 seed. According to Bracket Matrix, the teams on the 4 line right now are Connecticut, Xavier, Virginia, an Indiana. All 4 of those teams will have the South as #1 or #2 on their preferred list. That would be the case if they truly uses the S curve but with all the seeding and bracketing rules that doesn't always happens 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoyeCowbell Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 46 minutes ago, 5fouls said: Adding to that. I think we are headed out west for the regionals. Basing that on the theory that we will be the lowest seeded #4 and that the other 4's will get preferentially seeded in the other regions. I see the West region seeded like this. 1. UCLA 2. Baylor 3. Gonzaga 4. Indiana 5. Kentucky That gives the committee two potentially huge games of interest. IU vs UK in the round of 32, and UCLA vs the IU/UK winner in the Sweet 16. Now, UCLA screws that up if they lose early in the PAC 12 tourney. But, the committee really wants a West Coast anchor as #1 and Gonzaga is given as the #3 because the only other Top 4 seed actually from out there would be Arizona, and they wont be in same Region as UCLA. If Purdue gets the #1 out there, IU will not be the 4 in the west. Doing the Lord's work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoyeCowbell Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 Reminds me of this: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IU Scott Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 http://www.bracketmatrix.com/ I know this isn't always accurate but this has us as the 3rd #4 and UK is 3rd #6. It also has Purdue as a 1 seed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FKIM01 Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 1 hour ago, HoosierFaithful said: Is there a way to logically deduce the 2-4 places we might be for the first weekend? I am considering booking a flight now and just cancelling it if it doesn't line up, but this team is too special, I want to see them in person. Anyone been tracking this more closely than I have with some wisdom? Just book flights to all the first round cities. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5fouls Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 8 minutes ago, IU Scott said: http://www.bracketmatrix.com/ I know this isn't always accurate but this has us as the 3rd #4 and UK is 3rd #6. It also has Purdue as a 1 seed If UK makes the SEC final, they are moving up to the 5 line. Guaranteed. Their KenPom and NET are already at that level. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5fouls Posted March 6, 2023 Report Share Posted March 6, 2023 IU has a better chance of falling to a 5 (should we lose Friday in BTT) than it does of moving up to a 3 (our Net, KenPom, and even our W/L record do not support a 3). I would put our odds to be a 4 seed at about 85%. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierFaithful Posted March 7, 2023 Author Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 3 hours ago, Reacher said: Join me at the United Center this Friday? I was strongly considering the BTT but decided I wanted to go the actual big dance, so see YOU... wherever? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosierFaithful Posted March 7, 2023 Author Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 3 hours ago, 5fouls said: Adding to that. I think we are headed out west for the regionals. Basing that on the theory that we will be the lowest seeded #4 and that the other 4's will get preferentially seeded in the other regions. I see the West region seeded like this. 1. UCLA 2. Baylor 3. Gonzaga 4. Indiana 5. Kentucky That gives the committee two potentially huge games of interest. IU vs UK in the round of 32, and UCLA vs the IU/UK winner in the Sweet 16. Now, UCLA screws that up if they lose early in the PAC 12 tourney. But, the committee really wants a West Coast anchor as #1 and Gonzaga is given as the #3 because the only other Top 4 seed actually from out there would be Arizona, and they wont be in same Region as UCLA. If Purdue gets the #1 out there, IU will not be the 4 in the west. Headed out west, you say? This Arizonan loves this information. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SawatchHoosier Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, HoosierFaithful said: Headed out west, you say? This Arizonan loves this information. That would be awesome! I'm in Colorado and flights from Denver to Vegas are dirt cheap. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reacher Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 1 hour ago, HoosierFaithful said: I was strongly considering the BTT but decided I wanted to go the actual big dance, so see YOU... wherever? Coming to Phoenix in May! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DustyPL Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 Won tickets to the national title game from work, hoping to see the hoosiers there! 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUfaninIllinois Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 4 hours ago, 5fouls said: IU has a better chance of falling to a 5 (should we lose Friday in BTT) than it does of moving up to a 3 (our Net, KenPom, and even our W/L record do not support a 3). I would put our odds to be a 4 seed at about 85%. I’m fine with a 4 but want to avoid Kansas at all costs 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FKIM01 Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, IUfaninIllinois said: I’m fine with a 4 but want to avoid Kansas at all costs I'm being Captain Obvious here, but ya gotta beat em all to win a natty. I'm sure the '87 team wasn't thrilled to play Syracuse for the title either. Syracuse was very talented that year. On paper, they should have definitely won. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steubenhoosier Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 hours ago, HoosierFaithful said: Headed out west, you say? This Arizonan loves this information. Maybe this guy can help you 😁 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUfaninIllinois Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 15 minutes ago, FKIM01 said: I'm being Captain Obvious here, but ya gotta beat em all to win a natty. I'm sure the '87 team wasn't thrilled to play Syracuse for the title either. Syracuse was very talented that year. On paper, they should have definitely won. I’m fine with beating them but wanna do it later like let’s say final 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KoB2011 Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 5 hours ago, 5fouls said: IU has a better chance of falling to a 5 (should we lose Friday in BTT) than it does of moving up to a 3 (our Net, KenPom, and even our W/L record do not support a 3). I would put our odds to be a 4 seed at about 85%. We aren’t falling to a 5 and are probably not going to get a 3, either. Conference tournament means little for seeding. You’re not factoring in the Race injury when you talk about our numbers. The committee does factor those in (already did when they released seeding Feb 17). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drroogh Posted March 7, 2023 Report Share Posted March 7, 2023 2 hours ago, FKIM01 said: I'm being Captain Obvious here, but ya gotta beat em all to win a natty. I'm sure the '87 team wasn't thrilled to play Syracuse for the title either. Syracuse was very talented that year. On paper, they should have definitely won. Actually no! Some teams that you don’t match up well with also don’t match up well with another team that beats them before you face them. 2002 had a lot to do with other teams! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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