CauseThatsMyDJ Posted September 17, 2018 Report Share Posted September 17, 2018 When: Saturday 9/22 at 7:30pm ET on BTN S&P+: 53% chance of IU victory ESPN: 21% chance of IU victory Vegas: MSU -4.5 Michigan State is 1-1 with a squeaked out 38-31 win over Utah State and a 16-13 loss at Arizona St. https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaa https://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/2018/team/ In Sagarin, IU is #55 and Michigan State is #22 This is the most winnable game of the B1G East Big Four on our schedule, but also our toughest test of the early season. Should be a good one under the lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted September 17, 2018 Report Share Posted September 17, 2018 I want pay back for '87. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KDB Posted September 17, 2018 Report Share Posted September 17, 2018 Bill Connelly, the creator of the S&P+ rankings, gives Indiana a 53% chance of victory against the Spartans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CauseThatsMyDJ Posted September 17, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 17, 2018 41 minutes ago, KDB said: Bill Connelly, the creator of the S&P+ rankings, gives Indiana a 53% chance of victory against the Spartans. Edit: Found it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KDB Posted September 17, 2018 Report Share Posted September 17, 2018 21 minutes ago, CauseThatsMyDJ said: Are you paying for premium access to this content or where do you find it? Bill's college football statistical profiles. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vQ2e9xV7-ClihFVJ3kla0ZDxzFCQ7-WXvQRur-nK6gOzo333PqSetw52kEGgbXKb6viGZSbYuJugvRR/pubhtml# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted September 17, 2018 Report Share Posted September 17, 2018 IU wagon picking up speed? People are starting to take notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5fouls Posted September 18, 2018 Report Share Posted September 18, 2018 If IU can score more points than the Spartans, I'm confident they can pull out a victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OGIUAndy Posted September 18, 2018 Report Share Posted September 18, 2018 IU 34 MSU 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrflynn03 Posted September 18, 2018 Report Share Posted September 18, 2018 Im feeling really good about this game. I think we win this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted September 18, 2018 Report Share Posted September 18, 2018 I just hope it ain't another one of those games where we snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Anybody got the Vegas line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leathernecks Posted September 18, 2018 Report Share Posted September 18, 2018 6 hours ago, rico said: I just hope it ain't another one of those games where we snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Anybody got the Vegas line? We're 4.5 point underdogs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted September 18, 2018 Report Share Posted September 18, 2018 6 minutes ago, Leathernecks said: We're 4.5 point underdogs. Sum beach.............I gotta bet on that!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andy06 Posted September 18, 2018 Report Share Posted September 18, 2018 4.5 pts line gives MSU an implied win probability of 63.14%. I think it's partially inflated because they have been very good the past decade and have a number next their team name. I think we have a very good chance in this one. Sparty is talented but been unimpressive so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbmhoosier Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 It's almost a must win for PR purposes IMO. Win and Allen keeps the train a rolling and the fan base keeps following. Lose and the Romeo show starts next week and the fan base packs it in. It's not fair to the players or coaches but it's just the reality given how terrible the football program has been the past 50 years. No one is expecting miracles but until they can put a few 7-8 win seasons together in a row it will likely remain that way. I'm honestly feeling optimistic about Saturday though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5 championships Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 I’ll be there! Let’s pack the place!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iuthruandthru Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 In the stands on Saturday all I kept thinking was all these short passes and screens are going to get eaten up by the big ten defenses the team will face. My hope is that the team is still holding some plays back for Big Ten play. I think Ramsey is going to have to do more to get quality BIG wins. I was skeptical of him at first and still question his long ball but overall I think he has been solid. I am really interested to see how IU calls the game and what the MSU D will look like. This game can really set the tone for the team this season. MSU is definitely beatable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jssanto Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 I live to far away but hope it is packed. Win would almost guarantee a minimum 6 win season and more likely 7 or 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoHoosier Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 17 minutes ago, Jssanto said: I live to far away but hope it is packed. Win would almost guarantee a minimum 6 win season and more likely 7 or 8 Welcome aboard. Great first post. Let's hope you are right. Next game is always the biggest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 I hope this game goes down in history as the one that changed IU football's fortunes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hoosier8760 Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 Can't wait for game! 4-0 would be HUGE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownqb Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 Fyi.. all grass lots are sold out, so are the parking lots. Very little parking left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5 championships Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 13 minutes ago, btownqb said: Fyi.. all grass lots are sold out, so are the parking lots. Very little parking left. So is Glass expecting a sellout?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownqb Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 54 minutes ago, 5 championships said: So is Glass expecting a sellout?? I guess he's been selling a lot of the grass lot spaces to businesses so there are less of those to go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BENDOVER Posted September 19, 2018 Report Share Posted September 19, 2018 I haven't seen anyone talking about MSU's 2 weeks of rest/prep being a factor in this game. How big of a factor do you all think that will be? I think we have the motivation factor on our side, we have a lot more to gain than MSU has to lose. And I like where we stand in terms of skill and coaching. The only thing that worries me is that rest and prep factor they have on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted September 20, 2018 Report Share Posted September 20, 2018 7 hours ago, BENDOVER said: I haven't seen anyone talking about MSU's 2 weeks of rest/prep being a factor in this game. How big of a factor do you all think that will be? I think we have the motivation factor on our side, we have a lot more to gain than MSU has to lose. And I like where we stand in terms of skill and coaching. The only thing that worries me is that rest and prep factor they have on us. To be honest, I had forgot about Sparty not playing last week. Unsure about what kind of factor it is going to play in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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