Zlinedavid Posted March 12, 2019 Report Share Posted March 12, 2019 I hope that come Sunday, this post gets proven totally irrelevant. But in the event we're still looking for an at-large bid, I decided to see what past at-large teams that had close to .500 records looked like using today's Quadrant metric. I had to use that season's RPI in lieu of not having NET rankings or knowing the algorithm, but where that's all that existed at the time, it'll have to work. The examples: 2000-01 Georgia (16-14) 2007-08 Arizona (19-14) 2010-11 Michigan State (19-14) 2010-11 Penn State (19-14) 2010-11 Tennessee (19-14) 2010-11 Southern Cal (19-14) 2010-11 Marquette (19-14) If you want the raw totals: Full Results Here's a few statistical highlights: Most Q1 Wins: 00-01 Georgia, 7 Least Q1 Wins: 10-11 Penn State, 2 Average Q1 Wins: 5 Indiana's Current Q1 Wins: 6 Most Q1+2 Wins: 00-01 Georgia, 12 Least Q1+2 Wins: 10-11 Marquette/10-11 Penn State, 7 Average Q1+2 Wins: 9 Indiana's Current Q1+2 Wins: 9 (assuming that more Q1+2 games = a harder schedule) Highest % Of Schedule Q1+2: 00-01 Georgia, 83% Lowest % Of Schedule Q1+2: 10-11 USC, 52% Average % Of Schedule Q1+2: 63% Indiana's Current % Of Schedule Q1-2: 60% Most Q4 Losses: 10-11 Penn State (Maine)/10-11 Southern Cal (Charlotte)/10-11 USC (Bradley), 1 So how do those teams compare with this season's IU team? Out of these teams, we'd be mid-pack or better. We're not quite at the murderer's row of a season that 00-01 Georgia had, but we're far from the weakest resume out of this group either. We pretty much meet or slightly exceed the averages across the board. Bottom line: There is historical precedent for a team with our resume getting an at-large berth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rico Posted March 12, 2019 Report Share Posted March 12, 2019 @Zlinedavid, how did those teams perform in the tournament? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PoHoosier Posted March 12, 2019 Report Share Posted March 12, 2019 Somewhat related, SIAP: https://thebiglead.com/2019/03/08/seton-hall-and-indiana-will-be-overvalued-by-selection-committee-because-of-big-wins/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zlinedavid Posted March 12, 2019 Author Report Share Posted March 12, 2019 5 hours ago, rico said: @Zlinedavid, how did those teams perform in the tournament? Marquette made the S16. All others lost in the first round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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